Humans have “lost control” over the melting of the West Antarctic ice sheet – and this could cause global sea levels to rise by 3.2 feet by 2100, according to a study

Humans may have lost control of the West Antarctic ice sheet, according to a new study.

Scientists at the British Antarctic Survey predict that inevitable melting due to warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions will cause sea levels to rise in the following decades.

Even if emissions are controlled to achieve the best possible scenario, ice sheet melting will continue to accelerate this century, three times faster than in the 20th century.

If it melts completely, the ice sheet will release enough water to raise sea levels worldwide by 17 feet (5.3 meters).

However, scientists assume that they will “only” rise by one meter by the end of the century.

Humans may have lost control of the West Antarctic ice sheet, according to a new study

Humans may have lost control of the West Antarctic ice sheet, according to a new study

Scientists at the British Antarctic Survey predict that inevitable melting due to warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions will cause sea levels to rise in the following decades

Scientists at the British Antarctic Survey predict that inevitable melting due to warming caused by greenhouse gas emissions will cause sea levels to rise in the following decades

Warming oceans, absorbing excess heat from the atmosphere, are eroding the ice sheet from below, and this effect is most pronounced on the western side of the continent.

Scientists are unsure how much this is expected to contribute to global sea level rise. However, if the entire West Antarctic ice sheet melts, this would be about five meters, although this scenario is considered unlikely.

East Antarctica, which contains about 95 percent of the continent’s ice, remains stable, scientists say. A recent study found that although it is melting rapidly in the West, the amount of ice there has increased over the past 30 years, with a net loss of around 7.5 trillion tons of ice.

How much this melting will contribute to ocean rise is not as well understood as in other polar regions such as Greenland’s glaciers.

Dr. Kaitlin Naughten of the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) and lead author of the study said other research beyond her own is contributing to sea levels rising by about a meter by 2100.

She described her findings as follows: “It looks like we have lost control of the melting of the West Antarctic ice shelf in the 21st century.”

“Our actions today will likely make a difference in the 22nd century and beyond, but that is a time frame that none of us here are likely to see.”

The study, published in the journal Nature Climate Change, was described by scientists as “sobering” as it points to inevitable sea level rise that is likely to devastate many coastal communities if they do not adapt.

If it melts completely, the ice sheet will release enough water to raise sea levels worldwide by 17 feet (5.3 meters).

If it melts completely, the ice sheet will release enough water to raise sea levels worldwide by 17 feet (5.3 meters).

In the UK, Gwynedd City Council is already planning to abandon the Welsh village of Fairbourne in the 2050s after announcing it would no longer maintain sea defenses.

Millions of people around the world live on the coast and must either “build around the threat” or be “abandoned,” Dr. Naughten added that controlling emissions would lead to slower sea level rise, giving people more time to adapt.

For the current study, the BAS team from Dr simulated emissions remain at a medium to high level.

Each scenario showed that there would be widespread warming of the Amundsen Sea, which borders West Antarctica, leading to faster ice sheet melting.

For the current study, the BAS team from Dr simulated emissions remain at a medium to high level

For the current study, the BAS team from Dr simulated emissions remain at a medium to high level

The different emission paths did not show much difference until around 2045, when the high emission simulation began to increase the melt rate faster than the other scenarios.

Other scientists cautioned against viewing the study’s results as entirely conclusive because they are based on a single model but are consistent with other similar studies.

Professor Alberto Naveira Garabato, an oceanographer at the University of Southampton, said: “This is sobering research.”

“It shows how our past choices have likely led us to significant melting of the West Antarctic ice sheet and the resulting sea level rise – to which we as a society will inevitably have to adapt in the decades and centuries to come.”

“But it should also serve as a wake-up call.” “We can still save the rest of the Antarctic ice sheet, which is causing about 10 times as many meters of sea level rise, if we learn from our past inaction and start reducing greenhouse gas emissions now.”

Sea levels could rise by up to 1.20 m by the year 2300

Global sea levels could rise by up to 1.2 meters (4 feet) by 2300 even if we meet the 2015 Paris climate targets, scientists warn.

The long-term change is being driven by thawing ice from Greenland to Antarctica, which will reshape global coastlines.

Sea level rise threatens cities from Shanghai to London, low-lying parts of Florida and Bangladesh, and entire nations like the Maldives.

It’s important that we curb emissions as quickly as possible to prevent an even larger increase, a German-led team of researchers said in a new report.

The report predicted that sea levels would rise by 0.7 to 1.2 meters by the year 2300, even if nearly 200 nations fully meet the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement.

The goals set out in the agreements include reducing greenhouse gas emissions to net zero in the second half of this century.

Sea levels will rise inexorably because industrial gases that have already been emitted, which store heat, will remain in the atmosphere and even more ice will melt, it was said.

Additionally, water naturally expands when heated above four degrees Celsius (39.2°F).

Any five-year delay in reaching the peak of global emissions beyond 2020 would mean an additional 20 centimeters of sea level rise by the year 2300.

“Sea level is often portrayed as a really slow process that you can’t do much about… but the next 30 years are really important,” said lead author Dr. Matthias Mengel from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Potsdam. Germany.

None of the nearly 200 governments that signed the Paris Agreement are on track to fulfill their commitments.

Drew Weisholtz

Drew Weisholtz is a Worldtimetodays U.S. News Reporter based in Canada. His focus is on U.S. politics and the environment. He has covered climate change extensively, as well as healthcare and crime. Drew Weisholtz joined Worldtimetodays in 2023 from the Daily Express and previously worked for Chemist and Druggist and the Jewish Chronicle. He is a graduate of Cambridge University. Languages: English. You can get in touch with me by emailing: DrewWeisholtz@worldtimetodays.com.

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