NBA Odds & Tips for Christmas Day Matchups

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The NBA’s annual Christmas Day tradition continues tomorrow with five marquee matchups evenly spaced from 12:10 p.m. EST to 10:30 p.m. EST. The table begins with the Philadelphia 76ers (19-12, 5-7 away) visiting the New York Knicks (18-15, 8-9 home), followed by the LA Lakers (13-19, 5-11 away). ) vs. Dallas Mavericks (17-16, 12-5 home), Milwaukee Bucks (22-10, 8-7 away) vs. Boston Celtics (23-10, 12-5 home), Memphis Grizzlies (20-11 , 7-9 away) vs. Golden State Warriors (15-18, 12-2 home) and Phoenix Suns (19-14, 5-9 away) vs. Denver Nuggets (20-11, 11-3 home).

The table below shows the full list of odds for each game, plus the betting time. Below the table, find my best bets for the action of the day.

NBA Christmas Odds

Match point distribution money line game overall Time (EST)
76ers vs. Knicks 76s -2.5 (-106) / Knicks +2.5 (-114) 76s (-134) / Knicks (+114) 217 (-112o/-108u) 12:10 p.m
Lakers vs. Mavericks Lakers +8.5 (-110) / Mavericks -8.5 (-110) Lakers (+285) / Mavericks (-360) 230 (-110o/-110u) 2:40 p.m
Bucks versus Celtics Bucks +5 (-110) / Celtics -5 (-110) Bucks (+164) / Celtics (-196) 224.5 (-110o/-110u) 5:10 p.m
Grizzlies vs Warriors Grizzlies -5.5 (-106) / Warriors +5.5 (-114) Grizzlies (-205) / Warriors (+172) 229 (-110o/-110u) 8:10 p.m
Suns against nuggets Suns +4.5 (-110) / Nuggets -4.5 (-110) Suns (+158) / Nuggets (-188) 230.5 (-110o/-110u) 10:30 p.m

The Mavericks are the biggest favorites on the board, posting an 8.5 at home against LeBron James and the Lakers. The narrowest lead is in the 76ers vs. Knicks game, where the visitors have a 2.5-point chalk.

The line that pops out is the warriors catching 5.5 points At home against Ja Morant’s Grizzlies. But the reason is simple: Neither Steph Curry (shoulder) nor Andrew Wiggins (groin) will feature in Sunday’s NBA lineup, while Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are both listed as daily.

The other confirmed absences on Christmas Day are Anthony Davis (Lakers), Cameron Payne (Suns), Devin Booker (Suns), Jeff Green (Nuggets), Khris Middleton (Bucks) and Tyrese Maxey (76ers).

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Pick #1: Bucks vs. Celtics under 224.5 (-110)

One game I expect to have a playoff atmosphere on Christmas Day is the Bucks vs. Celtics matchup at TD Garden. Milwaukee currently sits first and second in the Eastern Conference portion of the NBA playoff bracket, just a half game behind Boston and would take the No. 1 seed with a win on Sunday.

This will be the teams’ first clash of the season, but there’s plenty of recent history. The Bucks and Celtics played an epic best-of-seven series in the playoffs last year, with Boston emerging victorious in Game 7.

Guess how many of those games went over 224.5.

If you guessed zero, you are correct.

Teams averaged just 203.2 points per game during the series. Three games (Games 1, 2 and 7) stayed under 200. Game 4 had the highest score, going straight to 224.

Their four regular-season games averaged 228.5 regular-time points. But that’s about as close to a playoff atmosphere as you’ll get during the regular season. Defensive intensity should be increased and both teams can count on excellent defense. Milwaukee is currently third in the league in defensive rating (108.5) — significantly better than last season — while the Celtics are seventh (110.6) — slightly down from last year.

Tip: Below 224.5 (-110)

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Tip #2: Knicks Moneyline (+114) vs. 76ers

The Knicks have been a volatile team this season. After stumbling to a 10-13 start, they clinched eight straight wins before losing their last two at home, both as betting favorites. On Wednesday, New York fell 113-106 to the Raptors as a two-point chalk. Yesterday, they let a fourth-quarter lead walk away as six-point favorites in a 118-117 loss to the Bulls.

The Sixers, on the other hand, are red hot, winning seven in a row after a three-game losing streak brought them back to .500. The winning streak largely coincides with Philly recovering James Harden from injury. However, it’s important to note that all seven of those wins came at home and only two against teams seeded in the top eight in both conferences (#5 Clippers and #6 Kings). The Sixers are 14-5 at home this year and only 5-7 away. They’ve only won two away games since October, and both came against the 13-21 Magic.

New York is underperforming at home, 8-9, but the Sixers have shown they really aren’t capable of beating above-average teams in hostile environments, and that trend dates back much further than just this season. Expect a sluggish performance from Philadelphia and a setback from New York in their first away game in three weeks.

Tip: Knicks Moneyline (+114)

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https://www.newsweek.com/nba-odds-picks-christmas-day-matchups-1769412 NBA Odds & Tips for Christmas Day Matchups

Rick Schindler

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