Treasury yields fall with focus on Russia-Ukraine war

U.S. Treasury yields fell on Tuesday morning, but the 10-year rate held above 2.10%.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note moved 3 basis points lower to 2.1046% at 5:25 a.m. ET. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond dipped 2 basis points to 2.4490%. Yields move inversely to prices and 1 basis point is equal to 0.01%.

The 10-year Treasury yield hit 2.16% on Monday, its highest point since May 2019, according to Refinitiv data.

The surge in Treasury yields comes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision, which is scheduled for Wednesday afternoon. The central bank is expected to raise its target federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point from zero, following the two-day meeting which kicks off on Tuesday.

In addition to its interest rate decision, the Fed is also set to share its updated forecasts on inflation and the economy. Investors will be monitoring these updates closely, to understand what effects the central bank is seeing the Russia-Ukraine war have on the economy.

Jean Boivin, head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” on Tuesday that central banks are now “really in a bind” amid rising inflation and energy prices.

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Boivin, the former deputy governor of the Bank of Canada, believed that central banks need to normalize monetary policy and so agreed with the need to raise rates this week.   

However, he said that this is “not about controlling inflation, this is purely about lifting the foot off the pedal before we really get to a stage where its going to be about restraining inflation, we are some distance from that.”

Russian and Ukrainian officials held talks on Monday, with one Ukrainian delegate saying the talks would resume on Tuesday.

The U.S. held “intense” 7-hour talks with China on Monday, to discuss a range of challenges to their bilateral relationship, including Russia’s war in Ukraine.

China is facing its worst Covid-19 outbreak since the height of the pandemic in 2020, seeing major cities limit business activity.

Meanwhile, February’s producer price index, which is one measure of inflation, is due out 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday.

There are no auctions scheduled to be held on Tuesday. staff contributed to this market report. Treasury yields fall with focus on Russia-Ukraine war

Chrissy Callahan

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